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Author:

Wang, Xun (Wang, Xun.) | Zhang, Zhongzhan (Zhang, Zhongzhan.) (Scholars:张忠占) | Li, Shoumei (Li, Shoumei.) (Scholars:李寿梅)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Stationarity is a key tool in classical time series. In order to analyze the set-valued time series, it must be extended to the set-valued case. In this paper, stationary set-valued time series is defined via D-p metric of set-valued random variables. Then, estimation methods of expectation and auto-covariance function of stationary set-valued time series are proposed. Unbiasedness and consistency of the expectation estimator and asymptotic unbiasedness of the auto-covariance function estimator are justified. After that, a special case of the set-valued time series, known as interval-valued time series, is considered. Two forecast methods of the stationary interval-valued time series are explicitly presented. Furthermore, the interval-valued time series is contextualized in the Box-Jenkins framework: an interval-valued autoregression model, along with its parameter estimation method, is introduced. Finally, experiments on both simulated and real data are presented to justify the efficiency of the parameters estimation method and the availability of the proposed model. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Set-valued stationary process Interval-valued time series D-p metric Uncertainty quantification

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Xun]Beijing Univ Technol, Dept Stat, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Zhongzhan]Beijing Univ Technol, Dept Stat, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Shoumei]Beijing Univ Technol, Dept Stat, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Xun]Aix Marseille Univ, Cent Marseille, Lab M2P2, UMR7320, F-13451 Marseille, France

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 李寿梅

    [Li, Shoumei]Beijing Univ Technol, Dept Stat, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS

ISSN: 0047-259X

Year: 2016

Volume: 145

Page: 208-223

1 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: MATHEMATICS;

ESI HC Threshold:71

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 20

SCOPUS Cited Count: 22

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 14

Affiliated Colleges:

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