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Author:

Qin, Junsong (Qin, Junsong.) | Niu, Dongxiao (Niu, Dongxiao.) | Qiu, Jinpeng (Qiu, Jinpeng.) | Ji, Ling (Ji, Ling.) (Scholars:嵇灵)

Indexed by:

CPCI-S

Abstract:

Since load forecasting plays an important role in the planning and operation of power industry, substantial efforts are made in improving the accuracy and reliability of load forecasting. In this paper, we develop a novel hybrid approach based on phase space reconstruction and least square support vector for the short-term load forecasting. However, the proper parameters in phase space reconstruction and least square vector machine have a significant effect on the forecasting performance, and there is no standard solution for the parameter estimation problem. Therefore, in this paper, the genetic algorithm (GA) approach is employed to optimize the parameters of both phase space reconstruction and least square support vector machine together. The experimental results suggest that the joint optimization parameter is superior to the separate optimization solutions.

Keyword:

short-term load forecasting Least square support vector machine (LSSVM) genetic algorithm (GA) parameter optimization phase space

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Qin, Junsong]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Niu, Dongxiao]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Qiu, Jinpeng]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Ji, Ling]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Qin, Junsong]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

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Source :

PROCEEDINGS OF THE 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MECHATRONICS, MATERIALS, CHEMISTRY AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING 2015 (ICMMCCE 2015)

ISSN: 2352-538X

Year: 2015

Volume: 39

Page: 2442-2449

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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