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Abstract:
For time-variant imprecise reliability problem with parameterized probability-box (p-box), determining the upper and lower bounds of time-variant failure probability is usually more of concern for engineers. To compute these two bounds, this paper proposes a new extreme value moment method (EVMM) combining adaptive Kriging model. In the proposed method, the adaptive Kriging models are first employed to approximate limit state function (LSF) responses and the predicted values are mapped into the extreme value function (EVF) counterparts. Then, the weighted approach based on sparse grid numerical integration (WA-SGNI) is developed to estimate the statistical moments of the approximated EVF responses. The resulting moments are further used to decouple the calculation of bounds of time-variant failure probability into two deterministic optimization problems. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method for time-variant imprecise reliability analysis are demonstrated through three numerical examples with LSFs involving non-Gaussian processes and finite element analysis.
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Source :
MECHANICAL SYSTEMS AND SIGNAL PROCESSING
ISSN: 0888-3270
Year: 2022
Volume: 171
8 . 4
JCR@2022
8 . 4 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;
ESI HC Threshold:49
JCR Journal Grade:1
CAS Journal Grade:1
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 23
SCOPUS Cited Count: 26
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 4
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