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Author:

Zhao, Zhao (Zhao, Zhao.) | Lu, Zhao-Hui (Lu, Zhao-Hui.) | Zhao, Yan-Gang (Zhao, Yan-Gang.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

For time-variant imprecise reliability problem with parameterized probability-box (p-box), determining the upper and lower bounds of time-variant failure probability is usually more of concern for engineers. To compute these two bounds, this paper proposes a new extreme value moment method (EVMM) combining adaptive Kriging model. In the proposed method, the adaptive Kriging models are first employed to approximate limit state function (LSF) responses and the predicted values are mapped into the extreme value function (EVF) counterparts. Then, the weighted approach based on sparse grid numerical integration (WA-SGNI) is developed to estimate the statistical moments of the approximated EVF responses. The resulting moments are further used to decouple the calculation of bounds of time-variant failure probability into two deterministic optimization problems. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method for time-variant imprecise reliability analysis are demonstrated through three numerical examples with LSFs involving non-Gaussian processes and finite element analysis.

Keyword:

WA-SGNI Time-variant imprecise reliability analysis Parameterized p-box Extreme value moment method Adaptive Kriging model

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhao, Zhao]Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1 Engn Dr 2, Singapore 117576, Singapore
  • [ 2 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Beijing Univ Technol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Beijing Univ Technol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Cent South Univ, Natl Engn Lab High Speed Railway Construct, 22 Shaoshannan Rd, Changsha 410075, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Kanagawa Univ, Dept Architecture, Kanagawa Ku, 3-27-1 Rokkakubashi, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2218686, Japan

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Source :

MECHANICAL SYSTEMS AND SIGNAL PROCESSING

ISSN: 0888-3270

Year: 2022

Volume: 171

8 . 4

JCR@2022

8 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:49

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 23

SCOPUS Cited Count: 26

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

Affiliated Colleges:

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