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Author:

Song, Jianjun (Song, Jianjun.) | Huang, Bingshi (Huang, Bingshi.) | Wang, Yong (Wang, Yong.) | Wu, Chao (Wu, Chao.) | Zou, Xiaofang (Zou, Xiaofang.) | Zhang, Junjie (Zhang, Junjie.) | Li, Jia (Li, Jia.)

Indexed by:

CPCI-S

Abstract:

The frequent occurrence of crashes on freeway bridge sections has caused widespread concern. This paper takes the freeway bridge section as research unit and uses the homogeneity method to divide the section units of the E'dong Yangtze River Highway Bridge. Monthly traffic crash, traffic flow, and road geometric data in 2018 were used. A zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression model was developed to explore traffic safety influencing factors for freeway bridges. AIC criterion and BIC criterion were selected for the goodness of fit test. Relative error (Re), cumulative residual (CSR) and mean standard absolute residual (MSAD) were used for the accuracy test. The results showed that the ZINB model can accurately predict the number of freeway bridge crashes. This paper provides theoretical support and reference for improving the safety level of the freeway bridge operation.

Keyword:

Crash prediction Freeway bridge section Traffic safety ZINB model

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Song, Jianjun]Hubei Edong Yangtze River Highway Bridge Co Ltd, Huangshi, Hubei, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Bingshi]Hubei Edong Yangtze River Highway Bridge Co Ltd, Huangshi, Hubei, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Yong]Hubei Edong Yangtze River Highway Bridge Co Ltd, Huangshi, Hubei, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wu, Chao]Hubei Edong Yangtze River Highway Bridge Co Ltd, Huangshi, Hubei, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zou, Xiaofang]China Merchants New Intelligence Technol Co Ltd, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhang, Junjie]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Li, Jia]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China

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Source :

CICTP 2021: ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION, ENHANCED CONNECTION

Year: 2021

Page: 1227-1236

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 1

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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