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Author:

Yu, Yang (Yu, Yang.) | He, Zhengbing (He, Zhengbing.) | Qu, Xiaobo (Qu, Xiaobo.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

A major shortcoming of the conventional car-following models is that these models only consider the current spacing and speeds of the target vehicle and its immediate leading vehicle, without taking into account prior driving actions, even for those from the same driver. In other words, the numerous prior experiences have no influence in predicting vehicular movements for the next time step. In this research, we propose a machine-learning-based data-driven methodology that is able to take advantage of the high-resolution historical traffic data in the current data-rich era, to predict vehicular movements in an accurate manner with high computational efficiency. The proposed car-following model has a simple model structure based on a fixed-radius near neighbors (FRNN) search algorithm and it can be applied to high-resolution, real-time vehicle movement prediction, modeling, and control. A comprehensive performance comparison is also conducted among the proposed car-following model, another similar data-driven model, and two conventional formula-based models. The results indicate that the FRNN algorithm-based car-following model is superior to all other three models in terms of prediction accuracy and is more computationally efficient compared to its data-driven-based counterpart. Some extensive applications of the proposed car-following model are also discussed at the end of this article.

Keyword:

Computational efficiency historical traffic data Predictive models Data models Analytical models fixed-radius near neighbors (FRNN) algorithm Prediction algorithms data-driven car-following model trajectory prediction Real-time systems Computational modeling Training

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Yu, Yang]Univ Technol Sydney, FEIT, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia
  • [ 2 ] [Yu, Yang]Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Architecture & Civil Engn, S-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden
  • [ 3 ] [Qu, Xiaobo]Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Architecture & Civil Engn, S-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden
  • [ 4 ] [He, Zhengbing]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Metropolitan Transportat, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Qu, Xiaobo]Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Architecture & Civil Engn, S-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden;;

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Source :

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS

ISSN: 2168-2267

Year: 2021

Issue: 3

Volume: 53

Page: 1405-1418

1 1 . 8 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: COMPUTER SCIENCE;

ESI HC Threshold:87

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 11

SCOPUS Cited Count: 9

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 10

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