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Author:

Liu, Ji-Chao (Liu, Ji-Chao.) | Chen, Yang-Zhou (Chen, Yang-Zhou.) (Scholars:陈阳舟)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus CSCD

Abstract:

The BP neural network (BPNN) is used to research on the speed prediction. For the problem that the different initial weights and thresholds of the BPNN can influence the speed prediction accuracy, a speed prediction method based on the BPNN with GA- PSO optimization algorithm is proposed. A route from Beigongdaximen to Baigeqiao is selected as the research path; then the speed prediction model based on the BPNN is established. Based on the optimization process between the genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), the speed prediction method based on the BPNN with GA-PSO optimization algorithm is designed through the method that the optimal weights and thresholds of the BPNN are determined by using the iteratively optimal method. Finally, based on the selected route, the GA-BPNNbased, the PSO-BPNN-based and the proposed speed prediction methods are used to achieve speed prediction, respectively. The result indicates that, compared with the other two optimal methods on the BPNN, the average speed errors of the proposed method are reduced by 37.1% and 24.1%, respectively. The proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy of the speed prediction. Copyright © 2017 by Science Press.

Keyword:

Particle swarm optimization (PSO) Backpropagation Systems engineering Speed Forecasting Neural networks Genetic algorithms Predictive analytics Iterative methods

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Ji-Chao]College of Metropolitan Transportation, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Ji-Chao]Beijing Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Liu, Ji-Chao]Beijing Collaborative Innovation Center for Metropolitan Transportation, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Yang-Zhou]College of Metropolitan Transportation, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Yang-Zhou]Beijing Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Chen, Yang-Zhou]Beijing Collaborative Innovation Center for Metropolitan Transportation, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 陈阳舟

    [chen, yang-zhou]beijing collaborative innovation center for metropolitan transportation, beijing university of technology, beijing; 100124, china;;[chen, yang-zhou]beijing key laboratory of transportation engineering, beijing university of technology, beijing; 100124, china;;[chen, yang-zhou]college of metropolitan transportation, beijing university of technology, beijing; 100124, china

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Source :

Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology

ISSN: 1009-6744

Year: 2017

Issue: 6

Volume: 17

Page: 40-47

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 5

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

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