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Author:

Weng, Ye-Yao (Weng, Ye-Yao.) | Zhang, Xuan-Yi (Zhang, Xuan-Yi.) | Lu, Zhao-Hui (Lu, Zhao-Hui.) | Zhao, Yan-Gang (Zhao, Yan-Gang.)

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EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

An efficient post-processing simulation method is proposed to estimate small failure probabilities of stochastic dynamic structures involving the inherent randomness of structural physical-geometrical parameters and external excitations. To extract a small failure probability, the proposed method introduces an intermediate event to represent the realizations of extreme structural response in the tail of distribution. With the aid of this intermediate event, structural failure probability is reformulated as a product of the event's occurrence probability and the conditional exceedance probability of extreme response when the event occurs. The latter corresponds to a distribution of extreme response under the condition of the intermediate event, referred to as the conditional extreme value distribution (CEVD). Accordingly, the proposed method is termed the CEVD method. To reconstruct the CEVD, a truncated shifted generalized lognormal distribution model is employed. Bayesian estimation method is utilized to determine the two shape parameters of this model based on the samples of both original extreme value distribution and CEVD, where the CEVD samples are generated by Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are demonstrated through two numerical examples considering seismic reliability analyses of a 10-story nonlinear frame and a soil-foundation-structure interaction system. © 2023

Keyword:

Markov processes Monte Carlo methods Soil structure interactions Numerical methods Reliability analysis Geometry Fracture mechanics Probability distributions Stochastic systems Failure (mechanical) Bayesian networks

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Weng, Ye-Yao]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Xuan-Yi]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Department of Architecture, Kanagawa University, 3-27-1 Rokkakubashi, Kanagawa-ku, Yokohama; 221-8686, Japan

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Source :

Structural Safety

ISSN: 0167-4730

Year: 2024

Volume: 106

5 . 8 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 6

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

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