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Author:

Xu, M. (Xu, M..) | Zhang, S. (Zhang, S..) | Li, P. (Li, P..) | Weng, Z. (Weng, Z..) | Xie, Y. (Xie, Y..) | Lan, Y. (Lan, Y..)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The Chinese government has announced ambitious carbon reduction goals to address climate change, however, there has been limited scientific attention to the achievement of deep decarbonization in regions with insufficient economic development. Moreover, the complex impacts of climate change mitigation on energy system, environment and economic development remain unclear in Northwest China. Here we construct a comprehensive evaluation model system to evaluate the effects of different climate mitigation pathways in Qinghai, Ningxia, Gansu and Xinjiang provinces. Results show that the four provinces need to vigorously increase the share of electricity that consumed in final energy to 53.1–60.0% and 52.9–62.0% for 2 °C and 1.5 °C target, respectively, and reduce total energy demand to 11.6–44.4 Mtoe and 8.2–34.1 Mtoe in 2050. Meanwhile, the CO2 emissions for their energy systems will reach peak by 2025 at lower values. Moreover, the synergies of CO2 reduction are most conducive to abating SO2 pollution and also contributing to decreasing PM2.5 concentrations. Additionally, the GDP losses in 2050 fluctuate from 5.0 to 21.7 billion USD in the 2 °C scenario to 11.5–52.7 billion USD in the 1.5 °C scenario. Our study provides practical guidance on achieving carbon reductions in less developed regions of China and lays foundations to promote decarbonization of energy systems in other provinces. © 2023

Keyword:

Pollutant mitigation Economic losses Northwest China Energy system Carbon emission reduction Climate change mitigation

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xu M.]School of Management, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang S.]College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
  • [ 3 ] [Li P.]Foreign Environmental Cooperation Center, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Beijing, 100035, China
  • [ 4 ] [Weng Z.]Institute of Circular Economy, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Xie Y.]School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
  • [ 6 ] [Xie Y.]Laboratory for Low-carbon Intelligent Governance, Beihang University, 100191, China
  • [ 7 ] [Lan Y.]Foreign Environmental Cooperation Center, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Beijing, 100035, China

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Source :

Applied Energy

ISSN: 0306-2619

Year: 2024

Volume: 358

1 1 . 2 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 11

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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