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Author:

Liu, X. (Liu, X..) | Zhao, J. (Zhao, J..) | Zhang, Y. (Zhang, Y..) | Lin, S. (Lin, S..) | Li, J. (Li, J..) | Mei, Q. (Mei, Q..)

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Scopus

Abstract:

To achieve accurate and fine-grained PM2. 5 concentration prediction, this paper proposed a PM2. 5 concentration prediction model based on spatial-temporal cognitive dilated convolution network (STC-DCN). The model applied spatial-temporal factors and meteorological factors to PM2. 5 concentration prediction, extracted spatial-temporal features based on causal convolution network, and optimized the extraction of spatial-temporal features by using spatial-temporal attention mechanism. Experimental results based on Haikou air pollution data show that for a single monitoring station, compared with the baseline model, the RMSE of ST-C-DCN decreases by 24. 7% on average, the MAE decreases by 9. 93% on average, and the R2 increases by 3. 35% on average. ST-C-DCN outperforms other models in terms of prediction accuracy for all monitoring stations, achieving the highest scores in win-tie-loss experiments (including MSE, RMSE, MAE, and R2), with values of 68, 63, and 64, respectively. The Friedman test conducted under different data sampling conditions confirms that ST-C-DCN exhibits significant performance improvement compared to the baseline model. In conclusion, ST-C-DCN provides a potential direction for fine-grained PM2. 5 prediction. © 2024 Beijing University of Technology. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Friedman test Shapley analysis multi-source factors PM2. 5 prediction causal convolution networks Bayesian optimization

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu X.]College of Software, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhao J.]College of Software, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang Y.]College of Software, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Lin S.]College of Software, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Li J.]College of Software, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Mei Q.]Navigation College, Jimei University, Xiamen, 361021, China

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Source :

Journal of Beijing University of Technology

ISSN: 0254-0037

Year: 2024

Issue: 3

Volume: 50

Page: 333-347

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 12

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