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Author:

Zhang, Jie (Zhang, Jie.) | Zhen, Liulin (Zhen, Liulin.) | Xu, Shuo (Xu, Shuo.) | Zhai, Dongsheng (Zhai, Dongsheng.)

Indexed by:

EI

Abstract:

In view of the nonlinear fluctuation of agricultural futures price and the linkage characteristics of domestic and foreign futures products, considering that the traditional neural network prediction model can not quantitatively characterize the causal relationship between multi-source input variables, this paper constructs a graph neural network prediction model with transfer entropy. Firstly, the adjacency matrix between nodes is represented by calculating the transfer entropy, which is used as a priori information to identify the causal relationship between variables. At the same time, the temporal convolution module of multi-scale filter is set to extract the node features to identify the time dependence of the sequence. Secondly, the graph convolution module is set to realize the propagation and feature selection of node information and its neighborhood information. Finally, the final prediction result is output by connecting parameters. The empirical study on soybean futures data shows that compared with the existing general forecasting model, this model can achieve the best forecasting effect. © 2024 Chinese Medical Journals Publishing House Co.Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Entropy Forecasting Convolution Graph neural networks Financial markets Graph theory Agricultural products Backpropagation

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Jie]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhen, Liulin]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Xu, Shuo]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhai, Dongsheng]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China

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Source :

Computer Engineering and Applications

ISSN: 1002-8331

Year: 2024

Issue: 2

Volume: 59

Page: 321-328

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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