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Author:

Li, L. (Li, L..) | Cheng, T.Y. (Cheng, T.Y..) | Li, Z. (Li, Z..) | Huang, Y. (Huang, Y..)

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

This study estimates the returns and volatility in the China's stock index futures market. Our approach introduces a novel consideration of price duration, a factor that we integrate into our models to enhance the estimation of volatility. We construct a stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model to investigate the price duration and extend the classical generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) model by taking into account price duration and more microstructure variables to investigate their influence on returns and volatility. We investigate in detail the moderating effect of the limiting trade rule, an exogenous policy shock, on returns and volatility. We find that significant clustering exists in price duration and that during the midday break in trading, subsequent price duration and returns decline, whereas volatility increases. Price duration and open interest both have a negative effect on returns and volatility, whereas trading volume has a positive effect on them. © 2024 Borsa İstanbul Anonim Şirketi

Keyword:

Market microstructure Price duration SCD model GARCH model Policy shock

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li L.]Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Beijing University of Technology, Addr.:No. 100, Pingleyuan, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Cheng T.Y.]School of Business, Putian University, Addr.: 1133 Xueyuan Road, Chengxiang District, Putian, 351100, Fujian Province, China
  • [ 3 ] [Li Z.]China Securities Regulatory Commission Post-doctoral Research Center, PR China. No. 26, Jinrong Street, Xi Cheng District, Beijing City, 100033, China
  • [ 4 ] [Huang Y.]China Securities Data Co., Ltd, Addr.: 35 Jinshifang Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100032, China

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Source :

Borsa Istanbul Review

ISSN: 2214-8450

Year: 2024

Volume: 24

Page: 60-70

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

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