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Author:

Guo, Ce (Guo, Ce.) | Xie, Qiwei (Xie, Qiwei.) | Li, Jingyu (Li, Jingyu.) | Zhang, Dandan (Zhang, Dandan.)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus

Abstract:

This paper aims to uncover patterns of financial risk spillover between Chinese financial institutions and investigate influencing factors across various timescales and periods. First, we decompose the transaction prices of financial institutions using the maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT). Using the copula model, we construct multiscale, multiperiod interconnected networks between Chinese financial institutions at different timescales. Then, we measure risk spillover between financial institutions using the dynamic Delta-conditional value-at-risk (Delta CoVaR) model. Subsequently, we integrate the correlation matrixes into a spatial econometric model to explore the influencing factors of risk spillover between financial institutions at different timescales and in different periods using samples of 27, 42 and 78 financial institutions listed in China from 2008 to 2023. Our results highlight the critical role of banking and securities institutions in transmitting network risk, although the importance of banks is found to decrease over time. During financial events, the clustering trend within the banking industry decreases. A rise in stock market returns, the size of financial institutions, market-to-book ratios or financial leverage increases the risk spillover to other related financial institutions. Conversely, rising asset returns lead to a reduction in risk spillover to other related financial institutions. Based on these findings, we propose recommendations for preventing financial risks.

Keyword:

risk spillover vine copula spatial econometric model financial institutions maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT)

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Guo, Ce]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xie, Qiwei]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Jingyu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang, Dandan]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, 95 Zhongguancun East Rd, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Dandan]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, 95 Zhongguancun East Rd, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

JOURNAL OF RISK

ISSN: 1465-1211

Year: 2024

Issue: 6

Volume: 26

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 12

Affiliated Colleges:

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