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To address the challenges of obtaining demand for air-rail passenger flows within urban agglomerations and understanding passenger flow patterns, a comprehensive analysis framework integrating air-railway passenger flow identification and prediction modules is proposed. Firstly, considering the spatial constraints of transportation hubs and the spatiotemporal characteristics of travel, a method for identifying intermodal passenger flows using signaling data is introduced, accompanied by an analysis of distribution patterns. Subsequently, leveraging the Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), time period coding is integrated to construct a Temporal-Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (T-BiGRU) for passenger flow prediction. Finally, the framework is validated using the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration as a case study. Results indicate that the intermodal passenger flow in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration exhibits a clustered distribution, with the scenarios of Beijing South Railway Station-Tianjin Railway Station-Tianjin Binhai Airport and Beijing West Railway Station-Zhengding Airport Station-Shijiazhuang Zhengding Airport having the highest proportion, exceeding 65% of the total intermodal passenger flow. The T-BiGRU model accurately predicts the demand for air-rail intermodal passenger flows. The bidirectional passenger flow prediction accuracy for the two main scenarios exceeds 89%, surpassing multiple baseline models. These findings offer support for the coordinated development of air-rail transportation and the optimization of air-rail intermodal services in urban agglomerations. © 2024 Journal Northern Jiaotong University. All rights reserved.
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Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University
ISSN: 1673-0291
Year: 2024
Issue: 4
Volume: 48
Page: 1-10
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 3
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