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Author:

Zhang, Jian (Zhang, Jian.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) | Wang, Tao (Wang, Tao.) | Xie, Chuan-Zhi Thomas (Xie, Chuan-Zhi Thomas.) | Tian, Yijun (Tian, Yijun.)

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Abstract:

Urban traffic congestion significantly affects economic productivity, environmental sustainability, and quality of life. Traditional traffic congestion prediction models, which are primarily based on single-mode data, often fail to capture the intricate interactions and dependencies present in multimodal urban transportation systems. In this paper, we propose a novel Mixture of Spatial–Temporal Graph Transformer Networks (MoSTGTN) for urban congestion prediction using multimodal transportation data. Our approach integrates a pattern-aware dynamic graph neural network for analyzing grid-based traffic big data, a dynamic spatial–temporal graph transformer to learn the distinct features of each traffic modality, and a mixture of experts framework to capture both intra-modality characteristics and inter-modality interactions. Real-world multimodal transportation data from Tianjin, China, including taxi and shared bicycle data, is used to validate the proposed model. The MoSTGTN model consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baseline models across multiple metrics, as well as in various traffic regions, time periods, and directions. The robustness of the model is further confirmed through extensive variance analysis. Our key findings highlight the critical role of inter-modal interactions and underscore the significant contribution of shared bicycle data in improving urban traffic congestion prediction accuracy, especially in high-density traffic areas. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Prediction models Traffic congestion

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Jian]Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Tao]School of Automotive and Transportation Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, China
  • [ 4 ] [Xie, Chuan-Zhi Thomas]School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, China
  • [ 5 ] [Xie, Chuan-Zhi Thomas]Yangtze Delta Region Academy of Beijing Institute of Technology, China
  • [ 6 ] [Tian, Yijun]Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Notre Dame, United States

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Source :

Expert Systems with Applications

ISSN: 0957-4174

Year: 2025

Volume: 268

8 . 5 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

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