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Author:

Xiang, P.-P. (Xiang, P.-P..) | Wang, J.-C. (Wang, J.-C..) | Jiang, K.-J. (Jiang, K.-J..) | He, C.-M. (He, C.-M..) | Jiang, W.-Y. (Jiang, W.-Y..) | Guo, L.-Q. (Guo, L.-Q..) | Jiao, Y.-J. (Jiao, Y.-J..) | Chen, S. (Chen, S..)

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Scopus

Abstract:

Current studies have shown that local feedstocks such as coal, natural gas, and solar resources support regional industrial decarbonization pathways but fail to consider inter-regional cooperation. We employed the IPAC-technology model to develop a sub-national economic technological assessment model for the ammonia industry, incorporating commodity transportation costs to directly connect ammonia production locations. Our analysis indicates that carbon price is crucial for achieving zero carbon emissions across all regions. Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Northwest China are likely to become electrolytic hydrogen-based ammonia production centers; Beijing‒Tianjin‒Hebei Region and Shandong are expected to develop nuclear hydrogen-based ammonia production; Southern China, Henan, and Shanxi are set to become hydrogen-based ammonia importer; and the Yangtze River Delta and Southwest China appear to have more varied development opportunities. Notably, while national CO2 emissions from ammonia sector decrease overall, emissions in Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and the Triangle of Central China are projected to increase in the near term. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and industry practitioners to develop decarbonization strategies and reallocation policies for China's ammonia industry. © 2025 The Authors

Keyword:

Regional reallocation IPAC-Technology Zero-carbon hydrogen Interregional linkages Ammonia industry

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xiang P.-P.]Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang J.-C.]School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
  • [ 3 ] [Jiang K.-J.]Energy Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, Beijing, 100083, China
  • [ 4 ] [He C.-M.]Zhejiang Carbon Neutral Innovation Institute & Zhejiang International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on Carbon Emission Reduction and Monitoring, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, 310014, China
  • [ 5 ] [Jiang W.-Y.]of International Studies, Yonsei University, Seoul, 03722, South Korea
  • [ 6 ] [Guo L.-Q.]Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Beijing, 100029, China
  • [ 7 ] [Jiao Y.-J.]Department of Environmental Science, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 8 ] [Chen S.]Department of Environmental Science, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China

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Source :

Advances in Climate Change Research

ISSN: 1674-9278

Year: 2025

7 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

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SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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