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Author:

Cai, Chao-Huang (Cai, Chao-Huang.) | Jiang, Li-Zhong (Jiang, Li-Zhong.) | Lu, Zhao-Hui (Lu, Zhao-Hui.) | Leng, Yu (Leng, Yu.) | Li, Chun-Qing (Li, Chun-Qing.)

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Abstract:

The evaluation of the first-passage probability of non-stationary non-Gaussian structural responses remains a great challenge in the field of random vibrations. In the present paper, a novel method is proposed for evaluating this first-passage probability, whose main contribution is to construct the joint probability density function (PDF) of the structural response and its derivative process under the consideration of their non-Gaussianities and nonlinear correlations. Cubic polynomial models of Gaussian process are developed to characterize the non-Gaussianities of the structural response and its derivative process, whose polynomial coefficients at each instant time are explicitly determined from their corresponding first four linear moments. These linear moments are accurately evaluated using a proposed method combining Sobol sequence with polynomial smoothing. The marginal PDFs and cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the structural response and its derivative process are then derived from these polynomial models. Based on Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the marginal CDFs, the optimal copula function at each instant time is selected to capture the linear/nonlinear correlation between the structural response and its derivative process. And thus, the joint PDF is constructed and the first-passage probability is evaluated. The applicability of the proposed method is validated by several numerical examples. It can be concluded that the proposed method provides satisfactory results in evaluating the linear moments, fitting probability distributions, and estimating the first-passage probabilities of non-stationary non-Gaussian structural responses. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Distribution functions Probability density function

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Cai, Chao-Huang]School of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha; 410075, China
  • [ 2 ] [Cai, Chao-Huang]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Jiang, Li-Zhong]School of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha; 410075, China
  • [ 4 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Key Laboratory of Urban Security and Disaster Engineering of Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Leng, Yu]School of Civil Engineering, Changsha University of Science & Technology, Changsha; 410114, China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Chun-Qing]School of Engineering, RMIT University, Melbourne; VIC 3001, Australia

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Source :

Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing

ISSN: 0888-3270

Year: 2025

Volume: 230

8 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 11

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