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Author:

Pan, Y.A. (Pan, Y.A..) | Li, F. (Li, F..) | Li, A. (Li, A..) | Niu, Z. (Niu, Z..) | Liu, Z. (Liu, Z..)

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Accurate traffic flow forecasting at urban intersections is critical for optimizing transportation infrastructure and reducing congestion. This manuscript introduces a novel framework, the Physics-Guided Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network (PG-STGNN), specifically designed for traffic flow prediction. By integrating the principles of traffic flow physics with advanced spatio-temporal graph neural network algorithms, the framework captures complex spatio-temporal dependencies in traffic networks. PG-STGNN adopts a stepwise approach, addressing key performance metrics like queue formation and signal timing complexities at intersections. To validate its effectiveness, the model was applied to real-world traffic data from the Yizhuang District of Beijing. Compared to traditional models such as ARIMA, KNN, and Random Forest, PG-STGNN significantly improves prediction accuracy, achieving MAPE reductions of 19.9 %, 18.6 %, 6.1 %, 20.7 %, 5.0 %, 1.8 %, and 1.1 % against KNN, ARIMA, RF, BP, T-GCN, STGCN, and ST-ED-RMGC, respectively. With the lowest MAPE (9.452 %), MAE (2.485), and RMSE (4.364), PG-STGNN demonstrates superior prediction performance. These results underscore its potential to provide reliable short-term traffic forecasts, offering essential insights for the strategic planning and management of urban intelligent transportation systems. © 2025 The Author(s)

Keyword:

Urban transportation planning Physics-guided spatio-temporal graph neural network (PG-STGNN) Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Traffic flow prediction

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Pan Y.A.]Department of Civil Environmental Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States
  • [ 2 ] [Li F.]Guangdong Key Laboratory of Intelligent Transportation System, School of Intelligent Systems Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China
  • [ 3 ] [Li A.]Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Niu Z.]Research Center of Logistics, Ministry of Transport Research Institute of Highways, Beijing, 100088, China
  • [ 5 ] [Liu Z.]The Thomas D. Larson Pennsylvania Transportation Institute, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, 16802, PA, United States

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Source :

Multimodal Transportation

ISSN: 2772-5871

Year: 2025

Issue: 2

Volume: 4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

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