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Author:

Li, Yang (Li, Yang.) | Yan, Qijing (Yan, Qijing.) | Wu, Mixia (Wu, Mixia.) (Scholars:吴密霞) | Liu, Aiyi (Liu, Aiyi.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Variance changepoints in economics, finance, biomedicine, oceanography, etc. are frequent and significant. To better detect these changepoints, we propose a new technique for constructing confidence intervals for the variances of a noisy sequence with multiple changepoints by combining bootstrapping with the weighted sequential binary segmentation (WSBS) algorithm and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The intensity score obtained from the bootstrap replications is introduced to reflect the possibility that each location is, or is close to, one of the changepoints. On this basis, a new changepoint estimation is proposed, and its asymptotic properties are derived. The simulated results show that the proposed method has superior performance in comparison with the state-of-the-art segmentation methods. Finally, the method is applied to weekly stock prices, oceanographic data, DNA copy number data and traffic flow data.

Keyword:

WSBS algorithm weighted bootstrap Variance changepoint BIC confidence interval

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Yang]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Yan, Qijing]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wu, Mixia]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Liu, Aiyi]Eunice Kennedy Shriver Natl Inst Child Hlth & Huma, Biostat & Bioinformat Branch, NIH, Bethesda, MD USA

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 吴密霞

    [Wu, Mixia]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS

ISSN: 0266-4763

Year: 2025

1 . 5 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

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