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Abstract:
This paper proposes an adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) when forecasting the volatility of financial data with the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. When the distribution of volatility data is unspecified or heavy-tailed, we worked out adaptive QMLE based on data by using the scale parameter (f) to identify the discrepancy between wrongly specified innovation density and the true innovation density. With only a few assumptions, this adaptive approach is consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, it gains better efficiency under the condition that innovation error is heavy-tailed. Finally, simulation studies and an application show its advantage.
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Source :
COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS
ISSN: 0361-0926
Year: 2016
Issue: 20
Volume: 45
Page: 6102-6111
0 . 8 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI Discipline: MATHEMATICS;
ESI HC Threshold:71
CAS Journal Grade:4
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 1
SCOPUS Cited Count: 1
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 7
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