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Author:

Zhu, Xiaorui (Zhu, Xiaorui.) | Xie, Li (Xie, Li.)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This paper proposes an adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) when forecasting the volatility of financial data with the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. When the distribution of volatility data is unspecified or heavy-tailed, we worked out adaptive QMLE based on data by using the scale parameter (f) to identify the discrepancy between wrongly specified innovation density and the true innovation density. With only a few assumptions, this adaptive approach is consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, it gains better efficiency under the condition that innovation error is heavy-tailed. Finally, simulation studies and an application show its advantage.

Keyword:

Adaptive estimator C13 Heavy-tailed error Quasi likelihood GARCH model C22

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhu, Xiaorui]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Pingleyuan 100, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xie, Li]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Pingleyuan 100, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhu, Xiaorui]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Pingleyuan 100, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS

ISSN: 0361-0926

Year: 2016

Issue: 20

Volume: 45

Page: 6102-6111

0 . 8 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: MATHEMATICS;

ESI HC Threshold:71

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 1

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

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