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Author:

Chi, Yuanying (Chi, Yuanying.) (Scholars:迟远英) | Guo, Zhengquan (Guo, Zhengquan.) | Zheng, Yuhua (Zheng, Yuhua.) | Zhang, Xingping (Zhang, Xingping.)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This paper investigates the development trends and variation characteristics of China's economy, energy consumption and carbon emissions from 2007 to 2030, and the impacts on China's economic growth, energy consumption, and carbon emissions under the carbon tax policy scenarios, based on the dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results show that during the simulation period, China's economy will keep a relatively high growth rate, but the growth rate will slow down under the benchmark scenario. The energy consumption intensity and the carbon emissions intensity per unit of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will continually decrease. The energy consumption structure and industrial structure will gradually optimize. With the economic growth, the total energy consumption will constantly increase, and the carbon dioxide emissions are still large, and the situation of energy-saving and emission-reduction is still serious. The carbon tax is very important for energy-saving and emission-reduction and energy consumption structure optimization, and the effect of the carbon tax on GDP is small. If the carbon tax could be levied and the enterprise income tax could be reduced at the same time, the dual goals of reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions and increasing the GDP growth can be achieved. Improving the technical progress level of clean power while implementing a carbon tax policy is very meaningful to optimize energy consumption structure and reduce the carbon emissions, but it has some offsetting effect to reduce energy consumption.

Keyword:

carbon tax energy consumption dynamic CGE model carbon emissions scenario simulation

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chi, Yuanying]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Guo, Zhengquan]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Xingping]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zheng, Yuhua]China Univ Min & Technol Beijing, Sch Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Guo, Zhengquan]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beinong Rd 2, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

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Source :

SUSTAINABILITY

ISSN: 2071-1050

Year: 2014

Issue: 2

Volume: 6

Page: 487-512

3 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI HC Threshold:309

JCR Journal Grade:3

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 37

SCOPUS Cited Count: 37

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

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