• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Chen, Cong (Chen, Cong.) | Zhang, Guohui (Zhang, Guohui.) | Liu, Xiaoyue Cathy (Liu, Xiaoyue Cathy.) | Ci, Yusheng (Ci, Yusheng.) | Huang, Helai (Huang, Helai.) | Ma, Jianming (Ma, Jianming.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) (Scholars:陈艳艳) | Guang, Hongzhi (Guang, Hongzhi.)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus PubMed

Abstract:

There is a high potential of severe injury outcomes in traffic crashes on rural interstate highways due to the significant amount of high speed traffic on these corridors. Hierarchical Bayesian models are capable of incorporating between-crash variance and within-crash correlations into traffic crash data analysis and are increasingly utilized in traffic crash severity analysis. This paper applies a hierarchical Bayesian logistic model to examine the significant factors at crash and vehicle/driver levels and their heterogeneous impacts on driver injury severity in rural interstate highway crashes. Analysis results indicate that the majority of the total variance is induced by the between-crash variance, showing the appropriateness of the utilized hierarchical modeling approach. Three crash-level variables and six vehicle/driver-level variables are found significant in predicting driver injury severities: road curve, maximum vehicle damage in a crash, number of vehicles in a crash, wet road surface, vehicle type, driver age, driver gender, driver seatbelt use and driver alcohol or drug involvement. Among these variables, road curve, functional and disabled vehicle damage in crash, single-vehicle crashes, female drivers, senior drivers, motorcycles and driver alcohol or drug involvement tend to increase the odds of drivers being incapably injured or killed in rural interstate crashes, while wet road surface, male drivers and driver seatbelt use are more likely to decrease the probability of severe driver injuries. The developed methodology and estimation results provide insightful understanding of the internal mechanism of rural interstate crashes and beneficial references for developing effective countermeasures for rural interstate crash prevention. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Rural interstate highway Bayesian inference Driver injury severity Traffic crash Hierarchical model

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Cong]Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Guohui]Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
  • [ 3 ] [Liu, Xiaoyue Cathy]Univ Utah, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 110 Cent Campus Dr,Suite 2000, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA
  • [ 4 ] [Ci, Yusheng]Harbin Inst Technol, Sch Transportat Sci & Engn, Harbin 150090, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, Helai]Cent S Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat Engn, Urban Transport Res Ctr, Changsha 410075, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Ma, Jianming]Texas Dept Transportat, Traff Operat Div, Austin, TX 78717 USA
  • [ 7 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Transportat Engn Key Lab, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Guang, Hongzhi]Beijing Univ Technol, Transportat Res Ctr, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Guohui]Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Related Article:

Source :

ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION

ISSN: 0001-4575

Year: 2016

Volume: 97

Page: 69-78

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:122

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 73

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

Online/Total:909/10623149
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.