• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Chen, Cong (Chen, Cong.) | Zhang, Guohui (Zhang, Guohui.) | Tarefder, Rafiqul (Tarefder, Rafiqul.) | Ma, Jianming (Ma, Jianming.) | Wei, Heng (Wei, Heng.) | Guan, Hongzhi (Guan, Hongzhi.) (Scholars:关宏志)

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus PubMed

Abstract:

Rear-end crash is one of the most common types of traffic crashes in the U.S. A good understanding of its characteristics and contributing factors is of practical importance. Previously, both multinomial Logit models and Bayesian network methods have been used in crash modeling and analysis, respectively, although each of them has its own application restrictions and limitations. In this study, a hybrid approach is developed to combine multinomial logit models and Bayesian network methods for comprehensively analyzing driver injury severities in rear-end crashes based on state-wide crash data collected in New Mexico from 2010 to 2011. A multinomial logit model is developed to investigate and identify significant contributing factors for rear-end crash driver injury severities classified into three categories: no injury, injury, and fatality. Then, the identified significant factors are utilized to establish a Bayesian network to explicitly formulate statistical associations between injury severity outcomes and explanatory attributes, including driver behavior, demographic features, vehicle factors, geometric and environmental characteristics, etc. The test results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid approach performs reasonably well. The Bayesian network reference analyses indicate that the factors including truck-involvement, inferior lighting conditions, windy weather conditions, the number of vehicles involved, etc. could significantly increase driver injury severities in rear-end crashes. The developed methodology and estimation results provide insights for developing effective countermeasures to reduce rear-end crash injury severities and improve traffic system safety performance. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Bayesian network Traffic safety Multinomial logit model Rear-end crash

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Cong]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87133 USA
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Guohui]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87133 USA
  • [ 3 ] [Tarefder, Rafiqul]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87133 USA
  • [ 4 ] [Ma, Jianming]Texas Dept Transportat, Traff Operat Div, Austin, TX 78717 USA
  • [ 5 ] [Wei, Heng]Univ Cincinnati, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
  • [ 6 ] [Guan, Hongzhi]Beijing Univ Technol, Transportat Res Ctr, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Guohui]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87133 USA

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION

ISSN: 0001-4575

Year: 2015

Volume: 80

Page: 76-88

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:137

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 194

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 12 Unfold All

  • 2024-9
  • 2024-9
  • 2024-7
  • 2024-5
  • 2023-7
  • 2023-5
  • 2023-3
  • 2023-1
  • 2022-11
  • 2020-1
  • 2019-11
  • 2019-9

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

Online/Total:468/10598225
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.