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Author:

Zhang, Jinlei (Zhang, Jinlei.) | Che, Hongshu (Che, Hongshu.) | Chen, Feng (Chen, Feng.) | Mae, Wei (Mae, Wei.) | He, Zhengbing (He, Zhengbing.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Short-term origin-destination (OD) flow prediction in urban rail transit (URT) plays a crucial role in smart and real-time URT operation and management. Different from other short-term traffic forecasting methods, the short-term OD flow prediction possesses three unique characteristics: (1) data availability: real-time OD flow is not available during the prediction; (2) data dimensionality: the dimension of the OD flow is much higher than the cardinality of transportation networks; (3) data sparsity: URT OD flow is spatiotemporally sparse. There is a great need to develop novel OD flow forecasting method that explicitly considers the unique characteristics of the URT system. To this end, a channel-wise attentive split-convolutional neural network (CAS-CNN) is proposed. The proposed model consists of many novel components such as the channel-wise attention mechanism and split CNN. In particular, an inflow/outflow-gated mechanism is innovatively introduced to address the data availability issue. We further originally propose a masked loss function to solve the data dimensionality and data sparsity issues. The model interpretability is also discussed in detail. The CAS-CNN model is tested on two large-scale real-world datasets from Beijing Subway, and it outperforms the rest of benchmarking methods. The proposed model contributes to the development of short-term OD flow prediction, and it also lays the foundations of real-time URT operation and management.

Keyword:

Deep learning Short-term origin-destination prediction Split CNN Urban rail transit Channel-wise attention

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Jinlei]Beijing Jiaotong Univ, State Key Lab Rail Traff Control & Safety, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Feng]Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Che, Hongshu]Southeast Univ, Sch Automat, Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Feng]Beijing Gen Municipal Engn Design & Res Inst Co L, Beijing 100082, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Mae, Wei]Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [He, Zhengbing]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Chen, Feng]Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China

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Source :

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES

ISSN: 0968-090X

Year: 2021

Volume: 124

8 . 3 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:87

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 114

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

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