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Author:

Liu, Zhansheng (Liu, Zhansheng.) (Scholars:刘占省) | Jiao, Yueyue (Jiao, Yueyue.) | Li, Anxiu (Li, Anxiu.) | Liu, Ximei (Liu, Ximei.)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

In recent years, the accident rate of urban rail transit PPP (public-private partnerships) project under construction has been relatively high, and the issue of security risks has attracted great attention from all walks of life. Therefore, it is necessary to identify, analyze, and evaluate the issue of security risks of the urban rail transit PPP project. This paper takes the PPP project of urban rail transit as the object. Through offline interviews and surveys and online questionnaires, this paper focuses on identifying and analyzing the risks brought by the introduction of PPP mode to the urban rail transit project and its action mechanism. The risk evaluation method based on Bayesian network model is studied, which is described from three dimensions: risk occurrence probability, risk reasoning, and risk sensitivity. Finally, an example of Xuzhou Metro Line 3 is given to verify the feasibility of the proposed method. This study provides a reference basis for relevant practitioners and promotes the healthy development of the industry.

Keyword:

Bayesian networks PPP construction risk risk evaluation urban rail transit

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Zhansheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Jiao, Yueyue]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Anxiu]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Liu, Ximei]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 刘占省

    [Liu, Zhansheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

SUSTAINABILITY

Year: 2021

Issue: 20

Volume: 13

3 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI HC Threshold:94

JCR Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 13

SCOPUS Cited Count: 20

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

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