• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Li, Hongtao (Li, Hongtao.) | Jin, Kun (Jin, Kun.) | Sun, Shaolong (Sun, Shaolong.) | Jia, Xiaoyan (Jia, Xiaoyan.) | Li, Yongwu (Li, Yongwu.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The increasing free access of the Internet provides us with favorable circumstances to investigate search engine index reflecting more and more personal behavior information. Part of valuable travel search information can assist us to achieve more robust and reliable prediction of metro passenger flow. Inspired by this, the paper develops a new multi-source time series fusion and direct interval prediction approach to grasp the dynamic law of metro passenger flow effectively. Multi-source index regarding metro travel from three major search engines (Baidu, Sogou and 360) in China are screened out and fused into the powerful predictors. By integrating an optimized multivariate mode decomposition strategy and long short-term memory model, lower and upper bounds of prediction interval are estimated directly by a multi-objective framework that combines the advantages of both the deep learning models long short-term memory and the ensemble learning approach. Especially, two sets of real experiment data of Beijing and Shanghai metro systems are employed to test our approach. Findings show that fusion of multi-source index information promotes the predictability of metro passenger flow, contributing to improving operation management and service quality. (C) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Search engine index Long short-term memory Multi-source time-series fusion Metro passenger flow interval prediction Lower upper bound estimation Multivariate mode decomposition

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Hongtao]Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Jin, Kun]Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Jia, Xiaoyan]Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Sun, Shaolong]Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Yongwu]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Related Article:

Source :

APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING

ISSN: 1568-4946

Year: 2022

Volume: 120

8 . 7

JCR@2022

8 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: COMPUTER SCIENCE;

ESI HC Threshold:46

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 25

SCOPUS Cited Count: 30

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:1175/10572508
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.