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Author:

Zhou, Yuyang (Zhou, Yuyang.) | Zheng, Shuyan (Zheng, Shuyan.) | Feng, Feng (Feng, Feng.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) (Scholars:陈艳艳)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus

Abstract:

Objectives: The potential virus in transportation facilities poses a serious risk to travelers. This research focus on the commuting by metro on the risk of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The main purpose is to explore the trajectory of virus transmission and the effectiveness of various control measures.Methods: A transmission model was established on the basis of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, combined with the spatial and temporal characteristics of the metro passenger flow. The implementation effects of the emergency strategies were analyzed through a series of simulation experiments. The changes in passenger flow affected by the virus transmission were analyzed both under the single intervention condition of the disinfection or off-peak travel policy and their double interventions.Results: The results of the experiments show that disinfection and off-peak travel can effectively reduce the number of the infected people. To promote the disinfection is better than the off-peak travel strategy. The optimal solution is the combination of these two strategies, thereby reducing the infection rate in the stations effectively. In particular, it can reduce the number of potential infected people in high-traffic stations by 50%.Conclusions: This study provides a scientific basis for the prevention of COVID-19 in the urban transportation system and the formulation of public emergency strategies. It can also be applied to other epidemic diseases such as the seasonal flu, for public health prevention.

Keyword:

COVID-19 Travel health Metro passenger flow Virus transmission Emergency response

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhou, Yuyang]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zheng, Shuyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhou, Yuyang]Minist Transport, Key Lab Adv Publ Transportat Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Minist Transport, Key Lab Adv Publ Transportat Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhou, Yuyang]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Feng, Feng]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp, Dept Geriatr, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhou, Yuyang]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

JOURNAL OF TRANSPORT & HEALTH

ISSN: 2214-1405

Year: 2023

Volume: 28

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:9

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

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