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Author:

Liu, Hui-Zheng (Liu, Hui-Zheng.) | Li, Shi-Long (Li, Shi-Long.) | Zhang, Kevin H. (Zhang, Kevin H..)

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Using export data with 6-digit HS categories for 1995-2018, we decompose China's export growth into three margins: extensive (EM), price (PM), and quantity (QM). Our estimations suggest that over the 23-year period, QM is a main driving force of China's export boom, accounting for 62% of total contributions, while PM and EM also make significant contributes (26% and 12%, respectively). Dynamic analyses based on four sub-periods suggest informative patterns of export upgrading due to external and internal shocks. In 1995-2001, PM and EM are overwhelming drivers, and QM is even negative. The trade liberalization as China's entering World Trade Organization in 2001 seems to trigger a dominant role of QM in China's explosive export growth in 2001-2013, with slight negative PM in the same two sub-periods. The contribution of EM is negligible in 2001-2008, and negative in 2008-2013 due to falling world demand as a result of the global financial crisis. In more recent years (2013-2018), China's export growth depends more on PM (39% of contributions) and EM (33%), less on QM (28%), suggesting a significant export upgrading.

Keyword:

extensive margin (EM) quantity margin (QM) price margin (PM) export upgrading intensive margin (IM) Export penetration (EP)

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Hui-Zheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Shi-Long]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Kevin H.]Illinois State Univ, Dept Econ, Normal, IL 61790 USA

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Source :

CHINESE ECONOMY

ISSN: 1097-1475

Year: 2021

Issue: 2

Volume: 54

Page: 79-91

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

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