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Author:

Zhou, Chonggang (Zhou, Chonggang.) | Fang, Zhaosong (Fang, Zhaosong.) | Xu, Xiaoning (Xu, Xiaoning.) | Zhang, Xuelin (Zhang, Xuelin.) | Ding, Yunfei (Ding, Yunfei.) | Jiang, Xiangyang (Jiang, Xiangyang.) | Ji, Ying (Ji, Ying.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The prediction of energy consumption is important for the efficient operation of building air-conditioning systems. Most predicted models are based on historical energy consumption data and the factors influencing air conditioning systems, including weather, time of day, and previous consumption. However, the traditional prediction models, such as the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series model and back propagation (BP) neural network model, show large errors in their prediction of the energy consumption of air-onditioning systems. To achieve better prediction, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model of deep learning is adopted in this study based on an air-conditioning system of a University Library in Guangzhou. The results demonstrate that the LSTM model can produce more reliable predictions. The daily energy consumption forecast reduced by 11.2 % compared to that of the Autoregressive Moving Average model (MAPE). The hourly energy consumption forecast reduced by 16.31 %. In addition, compared with the BP neural network model, the MAPE's daily energy consumption prediction reduced by 49 % and the hourly energy consumption prediction reduced by 36.61 %.

Keyword:

Long short-term memory Building energy consumption Prediction model Air-conditioning system

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhou, Chonggang]Guangzhou Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Fang, Zhaosong]Guangzhou Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Xu, Xiaoning]Guangzhou Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Ding, Yunfei]Guangzhou Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Xuelin]Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Jiang, Xiangyang]Guangzhou Inst Bldg Sci Co LTD, Guangzhou 510440, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Ji, Ying]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Fang, Zhaosong]Guangzhou Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China

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Source :

SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY

ISSN: 2210-6707

Year: 2020

Volume: 55

1 1 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 104

SCOPUS Cited Count: 117

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

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