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Abstract:
In order to explore in depth the significant factors affecting the traffic risk of bridge sections of freeway,this paper taking traffic order index(TOI)as dependent variable, and identifies the relationship between TOI and traffic characteristics,road attributes,and external environment. Based on the safety evaluation model,the Plots of individual conditional expectation (ICE)were applied to discover the contributing factors to traffic risk of bridge sections of freeway. The results indicate that compared with the gradient boosting decision tree model,the random forest(RF)models is more accurate for traffic safety risk evaluation. In addition,among the influencing factors,congestion is an important traffic flow factor affecting the safety risk of bridge sections. Under low visibility and adverse weather conditions,traffic risks are higher. The upstream and downstream of the river-crossing bridge are considered high-risk corridors in the bridge sections of the freeway. This paper can provide new ideas and methods for traffic safety risk evaluation and discovery of contributing factors to traffic risks of bridge sections,which is helpful for the traffic management department to accurately implement management. © 2022 Science Press. All rights reserved.
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Journal of Tongji University
ISSN: 0253-374X
Year: 2022
Issue: 11
Volume: 50
Page: 1637-1646
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 0
SCOPUS Cited Count: 2
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 2
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