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Author:

Zhang, H.-Z. (Zhang, H.-Z..) | Gao, Z.-K. (Gao, Z.-K..) | Li, J.-Q. (Li, J.-Q..) | Wang, C.-X. (Wang, C.-X..) | Pan, Y.-B. (Pan, Y.-B..) | Wang, C. (Wang, C..) | Wang, J. (Wang, J..)

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EI Scopus

Abstract:

In order to better predict the short-term passenger flow of urban rail transit,a prediction method based on the recurrent neural network model is proposed. Firstly,based on the actual passenger flow data of each rail transit station,the Pearson correlation coefficient is used to determine the influencing factors of short-term passenger flow of rail transit,such as the weather conditions,historical passenger flow,whether it is a peak time period,whether it is a working day,etc. Secondly,the K-means clustering algorithm is used to classify rail transit stations into three types:high,medium,and low passenger flow stations. Then the distribution of passenger flow for each station type in time and space is analyzed,to determine the peak period of passenger flow for each station type. Finally,two urban rail transit short-term passenger flow prediction methods based on long-short term memory neural network(LSTM)and gated recurrent unit(GRU)respectively are proposed to predict the passenger flow of each type of station in different time period. The experimental results show that 5 min is the best time granularity for short-term passenger flow prediction of the two models. In this time granularity,the overall performance of the GRU model is better than the LSTM model. © 2023 Editorial Board of Jilin University. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

urban rail traffic recurrent neural network long-short term memory neural network short-term passenger flow forecast gated recurrent unit engineering of communication and transportation

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang H.-Z.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China
  • [ 2 ] [Gao Z.-K.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China
  • [ 3 ] [Gao Z.-K.]School of Software Engineering, Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Li J.-Q.]School of Software Engineering, Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang C.-X.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China
  • [ 6 ] [Pan Y.-B.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China
  • [ 7 ] [Pan Y.-B.]Linewell Software Co.,Ltd., Quanzhou, 362000, China
  • [ 8 ] [Wang C.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China
  • [ 9 ] [Wang J.]School of Computer Science and Technology, Huaqiao University, Xiamen, 361021, China

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Source :

Journal of Jilin University (Engineering and Technology Edition)

ISSN: 1671-5497

Year: 2023

Issue: 2

Volume: 53

Page: 430-438

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

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