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Author:

Qiao, Shao-Jie (Qiao, Shao-Jie.) | Han, Nan (Han, Nan.) | Ding, Zhi-Ming (Ding, Zhi-Ming.) (Scholars:丁治明) | Jin, Che-Qing (Jin, Che-Qing.) | Sun, Wei-Wei (Sun, Wei-Wei.) | Shu, Hong-Ping (Shu, Hong-Ping.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus PKU CSCD

Abstract:

This study aims to solve the problem of predicting uncertain trajectories of moving objects, including mobile devices, vehicles, airplanes, and hurricanes. In order to design a general schema of trajectory prediction on large-scale moving objects data, techniques of frequent trajectory patterns mining and Gaussian mixture regression model are employed, and a multiple-motion-pattern trajectory prediction model is proposed. The proposed key techniques include: 1) as for simple motion patterns, a new trajectory prediction algorithm based on frequent trajectory pattern tree (FTP-tree) is proposed, which employs a density based region-of-interest discovery approach to partition a large number of trajectory points into distinct clusters. Then, it generates a frequent trajectory pattern tree to forecast continuous locations of moving objects. Experimental results show that the FTP-tree based trajectory prediction algorithm performs better than existing prediction approaches with the guarantee of time efficiency. 2) Gaussian mixture regression approach is used to model complex multiple motion patterns, which calculates the probability distribution of different types of motion patterns, as well as partitions trajectory data into distinct components, in order to predict the most possible trajectories of moving objects via Gaussian process regression. Experimental results show a high accuracy and low time consumption on trajectory prediction, as compared to the hidden Markov model approach and the Kalman filter one. Copyright © 2018 Acta Automatica Sinica. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Forecasting Hidden Markov models Image segmentation Gaussian distribution Predictive analytics Time and motion study Trellis codes Trees (mathematics) Regression analysis Trajectories Filtration

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Qiao, Shao-Jie]School of Cybersecurity, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu; 610225, China
  • [ 2 ] [Han, Nan]School of Management, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu; 610103, China
  • [ 3 ] [Ding, Zhi-Ming]College of Computer Science, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Jin, Che-Qing]School of Data Science and Engineering, East China Normal University, Shanghai; 200062, China
  • [ 5 ] [Sun, Wei-Wei]School of Computer Science, Fudan University, Shanghai; 201203, China
  • [ 6 ] [Shu, Hong-Ping]School of Software Engineering, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu; 610225, China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [han, nan]school of management, chengdu university of information technology, chengdu; 610103, china

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Source :

Acta Automatica Sinica

ISSN: 0254-4156

Year: 2018

Issue: 4

Volume: 44

Page: 608-618

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 11

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

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