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In order to improve the traffic safety problems caused by electric bicycles, this paper studies the relationship between reverse riding risk behavior and its influencing factors. Based on the GPS trajectory data of shared E-Bike in Furong district, Changsha City, the accurate identification of reverse riding behavior is realized. The machine learning model CatBoost and interpretable machine learning framework SHAP are used to extract and analyze the influencing factors of reverse riding behavior from the aspects of road conditions, traffic conditions, land use attributes, etc. The results show that: ① CatBoost model can effectively predict the reverse riding frequency of road sections and extract the important influencing factors of reverse riding behavior, mainly including travel time, public transport facilities, land use attributes, road conditions and traffic conditions. ② In terms of travel time, reverse riding is more likely to occur on weekdays and morning & evening peak hours; In terms of public transport facilities and land use attributes, the number of bus stops and subway station exits, and the number of restaurants, companies, shopping and other facilities around the roads present a non-linear influence relationship to the reverse riding frequency. In a certain range, the number of facilities has a positive effect on the reverse riding behavior. In terms of road conditions, reverse riding is less likely to happen with road crossing intervals of 50~400 m. But reverse riding is more likely to happen when there are no physical separation facilities in the bicycle lane or with road crossing intervals of 400~600 m. And the effect is unstable when the intervals is wider than 600 m. In terms of bicycle lane, the reverse riding probability with guardrail separation is lower, while the probability with green belt separation is higher. In terms of traffic conditions, when the riding speed and acceleration are too low or too high, it is negatively related to the reverse riding behavior. When the riding speed is between 6~16 km•h-1 and the acceleration is between 0.3~1.0 m•s-2, it is positively related to the reverse riding behavior. This research can provide an effective technical support for the identification of shared E-Bike risk riding behavior, as well as for the management of non-motor vehicle traffic safety. © 2021, Editorial Department of China Journal of Highway and Transport. All right reserved.
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China Journal of Highway and Transport
ISSN: 1001-7372
Year: 2021
Issue: 12
Volume: 34
Page: 262-275
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 0
SCOPUS Cited Count: 7
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 18
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