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Abstract:
Hydropower energy model (HEM) facilitates the construction and efficiency of the energy system, including the enhancement of power generation and the efficient utilization of water energy. Runoff uncertainty has influenced HEM accuracy, resulting in reduced energy production efficiency. To address this issue, a dynamic multi-scenario hydropower energy model considering runoff uncertainty (DMS-HEM) is presented in this paper. First, a library of probability distribution functions is constructed considering runoff characteristics. A dynamic selection mechanism based on kolmogorov-smirnov (KS) test is designed to select distribution probability function of reservoir from the library. Second, the initial runoff scenarios set is generated based on the selected distribution probability function by Latin hypercube sampling method. A fast predecessor elimination technique based on probability distance is used to obtain runoff scenarios set. Third, a dynamic multi-scenario hydropower energy model is established according to runoff scenarios set, with the constraint of guaranteed output. Annual power generation and water disposal are the optimization objective functions of the model. Finally, three algorithms are used to solve DMS-HEM and HEM. The experimental results show that DMS-HEM can reduce water disposal volume and increase energy generation effectively. © 2023 IEEE.
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Year: 2023
Page: 627-632
Language: English
Cited Count:
SCOPUS Cited Count: 1
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 5
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