• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Chen, Wenru (Chen, Wenru.) | Zhao, Xu (Zhao, Xu.) | Zhou, Mi (Zhou, Mi.) | Chen, Haiqing (Chen, Haiqing.) | Ji, Qingqing (Ji, Qingqing.) | Cheng, Weihu (Cheng, Weihu.) (Scholars:程维虎)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), an asymmetrical distribution, primarily models exceedances over a high threshold in many applications. Within the peaks-over-threshold (POT) framework, we consider a new GPD parameter estimation method to estimate a common tail risk measure, the value at risk (VaR). The proposed method is more suitable for the POT framework and makes full use of data information. Specifically, our estimation method builds upon the generalized probability weighted moments method and integrates it with the nonlinear weighted least squares method. We use exceedances for the GPD, minimizing the sum of squared differences between the sample and population moments of a function of GPD random variables. At the same time, the proposed estimator uses three iterations and assigns weight to further improving the estimated performance. Under Monte Carlo simulations and with a real heavy-tailed dataset, the simulation results show the advantage of the newly proposed estimator, particularly when VaRs are at high confidence levels. In addition, by simulating other heavy-tailed distributions, our method still exhibits good performance in estimating misjudgment distributions.

Keyword:

extreme value theory extreme quantile estimation parameter estimation generalized Pareto distribution

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Wenru]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhao, Xu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Cheng, Weihu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhou, Mi]China Natl Environm Monitoring Ctr, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Haiqing]Nanjing Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Ji, Qingqing]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Ji, Qingqing]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhao, Xu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Zhou, Mi]China Natl Environm Monitoring Ctr, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

SYMMETRY-BASEL

Year: 2024

Issue: 3

Volume: 16

2 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 1

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:699/10645975
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.