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Abstract:
Inversion based on observational data and the source-receptor relationship (SRR) simulated by an air quality model is an effective means to estimate NOx emissions. However, the SRR bias induced by the inherent uncertainty of the simulated model leads to potential errors in the inversed emissions, but this is seldom considered in NOx inversion. In this study, we constructed an inversion model based on the SRR correction (IMSC) by introducing a correction matrix, combined with joint regularization scheme and genetic algorithm. We innovated the dynamic acquisition method of center-restricted parameters for the correction matrix, combined this with other parts of the IMSC, attaining the multi-month and multi-region pollutant emission inversion. Hypothetical examples demonstrated that the IMSC effectively corrected the SRR and accurately estimated the NOx emissions. The IMSC was used to estimate Linyi county-level NOx emissions for January, April, July and October (typical months) during 2020 and 2021. An inversion model without SRR correction (IMWSC) was developed for comparison with the IMSC. Results showed that the IMSC more accurately, robustly, and reasonably estimated NOx emissions. Compared to the IMWSC, the IMSC improved the mean correlation between NOx emissions and NO2 observational concentrations by 25.0%, enhancing the correlation between NOx emissions and NO2 column concentrations by 111.3%. The similar NOx emission change ratios (σaverage = 5.1%) between the typical months in 2021 and 2020 among the different counties indicated a more robust performance of the IMSC than the IMWSC (σaverage = 55.2%). In addition, the NOx emissions inversed by the IMSC also showed better consistency with social activity levels (i.e., electricity consumption). The typical monthly Linyi's county-level NOx emission characterization was also studied. NOx emissions were lower in April, July, and October 2021 than the same period in 2020 due to COVID-19 and pollution controls. This study provides strategies for swiftly and accurately estimating pollutant emissions. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd
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Atmospheric Environment
ISSN: 1352-2310
Year: 2024
Volume: 338
5 . 0 0 0
JCR@2022
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 9
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