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Author:

Liu, Xianmei (Liu, Xianmei.) | Liu, Yuxiang (Liu, Yuxiang.) | Bai, Caiquan (Bai, Caiquan.) | Peng, Rui (Peng, Rui.) (Scholars:彭锐) | Chi, Yuanying (Chi, Yuanying.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The iron and steel industry (ISI), the second largest carbon emitter, produces 16% of China's CO2 emissions, and its decarbonization will therefore play an important role in achieving the goal of carbon neutrality. This study identifies underlying low-carbon transition pathways of the ISI towards 2050, through investigating macro-level mitigation policies and technological advances. An integrated assessment model that integrates a top-down CGE method and a bottom-up objective planning method was constructed. The results show that the combination of mitigation policies and technological measures would substantially reduce CO2 emissions in the ISI, with the remaining 140 Mt to 520 Mt by 2050. Carbon mitigation in ISI in the short term mainly benefits from the technology retrofitting, the reduction of steel demand, which accounts for 17.8 % and 32.1 %, respectively. Breakthrough technologies of scrap-based electric arc furnace (EAF), hydrogen-based direct reduction (HDREAF) and carbon capture and storge (CCS), would play a fundamental role in reducing the CO2 emissions especially after 2030, contributing to 32.1 %, 16.0 % and 13.8 % of emission reduction, respectively. Of the 41technologies assessed, 8-key technologies jointly mitigate over 55% of CO2 emissions. The cost-effectiveness and mitigation potential of technologies would provide reference to policymaker for the mitigation in China's ISI.

Keyword:

Decarbonization pathways Carbon neutrality target Iron and steel industry Breakthrough technologies Integrated assessment model

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Xianmei]Hebei Univ Econ & Business, Sch Econ, Shijiazhuang 050062, Hebei, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Yuxiang]Norendar Int Ltd, Shijiazhuang 050021, Hebei, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Bai, Caiquan]Xiangtan Univ, Business Sch, Xiangtan 411105, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Peng, Rui]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chi, Yuanying]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Bai, Caiquan]Xiangtan Univ, Business Sch, Xiangtan 411105, Hunan, Peoples R China;;[Peng, Rui]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

RENEWABLE ENERGY

ISSN: 0960-1481

Year: 2024

Volume: 237

8 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 6

SCOPUS Cited Count: 6

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 14

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