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Author:

Du, Yang (Du, Yang.) | Cheng, Weihu (Cheng, Weihu.) (Scholars:程维虎)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

In this paper, we enhanced change point detection in skew normal distribution models by integrating the EM algorithm's Q-function with the modified information criterion (MIC). The new QMIC framework improves sensitivity and accuracy in detecting changes, outperforming the modified information criterion (MIC) and the traditional Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Due to the complexity of deriving analytic asymptotic distributions, bootstrap simulations were used to determine critical values at various significance levels. Extensive simulations demonstrate that QMIC offers superior detection capabilities. We applied the QMIC method to two stock market datasets, successfully identifying multiple change points, and highlighting its effectiveness for real- world financial data analysis.

Keyword:

binary segmentation method expectation maximization skew normal distribution change point detection Q-function

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Du, Yang]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Cheng, Weihu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Du, Yang]Harbin Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Appl Math, Harbin 150080, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Cheng, Weihu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Math Stat & Mech, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

AIMS MATHEMATICS

Year: 2024

Issue: 10

Volume: 9

Page: 28698-28721

2 . 2 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 12

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