The　low-carbon　transformation　of　data　centers　is　highly　significant　for　achieving　carbon　peaking　and　carbon　neutrality.　This　study　compared　and　analyzed　the　overall　situation　of　data　centers　in　China.　Three　variables—energy　efficiency　improvement　rate,　proportion　of　non-fossil　energy—and　negative　emission　technology　intensity　were　introduced　based　on　the　CO2　emission　and　intensity　targets　of　China　in　key　years,　and　the　total　CO2　emissions　of　the　data　centers　were　projected　via　scenario　analysis.　The　results　demonstrated　that　the　power　consumption　of　the　data　centers　increased　gradually;　the　carbon　emissions　first　increased　and　then　decreased,　and　the　power　usage　effectiveness　(PUE)　of　the　data　centers　decreased　gradually.　The　carbon　peak　time　of　the　three　scenarios　is　2030,　and　the　expected　times　to　achieve　carbon　neutrality　are　2059,　2057,　and　2055　in　the　three　scenarios.　In　light　of　the　goal　to　achieve　carbon　neutrality　by　2060,　the　data　center　industry　should　further　improve　the　energy　efficiency　utilization　rate,　increase　the　proportion　of　non-fossil　energy,　strengthen　the　technological　innovation　of　carbon　capture　and　storage,　and　enhance　the　level　of　carbon　sinks.　©　2025　Journal　of　Refrigeration　Magazines　Agency　Co.,　Ltd..　All　rights　reserved.