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Abstract:
Urban flood disasters have occurred frequently worldwide in recent years, causing huge population and property damages. Dynamic and accurate assessment of the occurrence and development of urban flood damages is the foundation for comprehensively understanding flood risks and formulating flood relief measures. This study proposes a dynamic flood damages assessment model, which achieves dynamic evaluation of flood damages under different relief measures by improving the function expression of the S-curve. The model depicts the functional relationship between disaster damage and the flood process, and simulates the effects of implementing different disaster relief measures at different time on the process of disaster damage. Three relief measures were considered to quantify the disparities in disaster damage: termination type (which directly stops the growth of disaster damages), decay type (which induces damage curve enter the decay stage), and weakening type (which causes the rate of increase in flood damage decreases). The disaster evolution pathways were analyzed to demonstrate damages in the urban flood disaster chains, such as the submergence events of the subway line 5 and the Jingguang Expressway tunnel. The research findings show that: (1) By using actual damage data and points of interest (POIs) data, the model demonstrated a good fit with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) > 0.837. (2) The timeliness and intensity of disaster relief measures are crucial factors in reducing disaster losses. In the two disaster events, timely disaster relief measures reduced disaster damages by 52.2 % and 30.6 %, respectively, comparing to untimely measures. (3) The urban flood disaster assessment model requires some application conditions, including the concentrated regional rainfall, flat terrain, and a substantial number of data points.
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JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 0022-1694
Year: 2025
Volume: 658
6 . 4 0 0
JCR@2022
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 6
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