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Author:

Mei, Qiang (Mei, Qiang.) | Li, Zhaoxuan (Li, Zhaoxuan.) | Hu, Qinyou (Hu, Qinyou.) | Zhi, Xiaoying (Zhi, Xiaoying.) | Wang, Peng (Wang, Peng.) | Yang, Yang (Yang, Yang.) | Liu, Xiliang (Liu, Xiliang.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted significant challenges in maritime industries, such as port congestion and supply chain disruptions, necessitating accurate port traffic prediction. Traditional models often fail to capture the complex and dynamic interactions within maritime networks, particularly the spatial correlations between ports. To address these limitations, this study proposes a spatio-temporal graph neural network (MSTGNN) tailored for maritime traffic prediction. MSTGNN integrates temporal and spatial features using a sample convolution and interaction network (SCINet) and a graph attention network (GAT), enhanced by a k-core mechanism for prioritizing key ports. Extensive experiments with global and regional datasets demonstrate MSTGNN's superior performance in accuracy, stability, and adaptability compared to existing models. The model excels in predicting traffic flows across different ship types, making it highly applicable for optimizing port operations, route planning, and mitigating supply chain risks. The findings imply that MSTGNN can significantly enhance decision-making in maritime logistics by offering more precise traffic predictions, thereby supporting more efficient, resilient, and sustainable global supply chains.

Keyword:

Spatio-temporal characteristic Graph neural network MSTGNN Flow prediction Maritime network COVID-19

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Mei, Qiang]Shanghai Maritime Univ, Merchant Marine Coll, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Hu, Qinyou]Shanghai Maritime Univ, Merchant Marine Coll, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Peng]Shanghai Maritime Univ, Merchant Marine Coll, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Mei, Qiang]Jimei Univ, Nav Inst, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Zhaoxuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhi, Xiaoying]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Liu, Xiliang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Wang, Peng]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Yang, Yang]East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Shanghai 200062, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Wang, Peng]Shanghai Maritime Univ, Merchant Marine Coll, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China;;[Liu, Xiliang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China

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Source :

REGIONAL STUDIES IN MARINE SCIENCE

ISSN: 2352-4855

Year: 2025

Volume: 85

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

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