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Abstract:
Establishing a long-term decarbonization roadmap for the maritime industry requires an in-depth understanding of historical emission patterns and their underlying drivers. Here, we introduce a new technical framework that integrates international trade, ship activity, and marine fuel data to develop a comprehensive 0.1° × 0.1° historical shipping emission inventory for carbon dioxide (CO2) and five key atmospheric pollutants (SO2, NOx, particulate matter, CO, and non-methane volatile organic compounds) from 1970 to 2021. Our findings reveal a 1.7-fold increase in global shipping CO2 emissions, accompanied by a structural shift, notably with container ships’ contribution rising from 13.8% to 40.4%. In contrast to the decelerating growth in CO2 emissions across the North Atlantic, emissions in Asian waters have surged, driven by the maritime boom of emerging economies. These structural and spatial changes underscore the imperative of prioritizing sectors and regions with the highest future growth potential in decarbonization strategies, thereby shaping the long-term trajectory of maritime sustainability. © 2025 Elsevier Inc.
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One Earth
ISSN: 2590-3330
Year: 2025
Issue: 4
Volume: 8
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 3
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