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Author:

Li, Jiangeng (Li, Jiangeng.) | Shao, Xingyang (Shao, Xingyang.) | Zhao, Huihong (Zhao, Huihong.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus

Abstract:

With rapid modernization, air quality is becoming gradually deteriorate. To avoid the adverse effects of severe air pollution on human health, we need accurate real-time air quality prediction. The factors relevant to air pollutant concentration forecasting contain simultaneously numeric type (temperature etc.) and non-numeric type (wind direction etc.). Random Forest has many advantages, which includes it can deal with numeric features and non-numeric features. In this study, an online forecasting method based on Random Forest is proposed to predict the concentrations of three kinds of air pollutants (PM2.5, NO2, SO2), 24 hours in advance. The sliding window is used to take the recent data to retrain Random Forest prediction model and the well-trained models is used to predict the dependent variable at target moment. Before prediction model is trained, a variable selection method based on Random Forests (VSURF) is used to select the factors that are relevant to the forecast of air pollutant concentrations. We evaluate our method with dataset from Microsoft Research. Comparison with baseline methods shows that our method achieve state-of-art performance on air pollutant concentration forecasting. Experimental results also indicate that the features we selected using VSURF method are most important predictors for the prediction of three kinds of air pollutant concentrations. © 2018 Technical Committee on Control Theory, Chinese Association of Automation.

Keyword:

Decision trees Predictive analytics Air quality Random forests Feature extraction Forecasting

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, College of Automation, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, College of Automation, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Huihong]School of Electromechanical Engineering, Dezhou University, Dezhou, Shandong; 253023, China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao, Huihong]Clean Energy Research and Technology Promotion Center, Dezhou University, Dezhou, Shandong; 253023, China

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Source :

ISSN: 1934-1768

Year: 2018

Volume: 2018-July

Page: 9641-9648

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 17

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 27

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