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Author:

Xu, Jun (Xu, Jun.) | Wu, Zhikang (Wu, Zhikang.) | Lu, Zhao-Hui (Lu, Zhao-Hui.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Evaluating the failure probabilities with rare events remains a challenging task, especially when dealing with complex limit state functions with high-dimensional random inputs. To handle this problem, an adaptive polynomial skewed-normal transformation (A-PSNT) model is proposed in this paper for evaluating the probability distribution of the limit state function and failure probability. First, the polynomial transformation models on the basis of normal distribution are introduced, where the limitations are also pointed out. Then, the skewed-normal distribution is presented, which serves as the basis of the proposed polynomial transformation model. The PSNT with a given order can be initiated, whereby the unknown coefficients can be determined by using the probability weighted moments (PWMs)-matching technique. Further, a tail error criterion is proposed to select the most appropriate order for the PSNT model, which makes the proposed method an adaptive one. To handle the low-to high-dimensional random inputs, two low-discrepancy sampling methods are employed to generate samples for unbiasedly estimating the PWMs of the limit state function. Once the probability distribution of the limit state function is reconstructed by the proposed A-PSNT model, the failure probability, especially for the rare one, can be determined accordingly. The proposed method is validated through numerical examples involving both static and dynamic, low-to high-dimensional problems, where some classical reliability analysis methods are also adopted for comparisons. The results show that the proposed A-PSNT model not only can effectively reconstruct the probability distribution, but also is able to accurately predict the failure probability with rare events.

Keyword:

Structural reliability Skewed-normal distribution Probability weighted moment Polynomial transformation Rare event

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xu, Jun]Hunan Univ, Coll Civil Engn, 2 South Lushan Rd, Changsha 410082, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wu, Zhikang]Hunan Univ, Coll Civil Engn, 2 South Lushan Rd, Changsha 410082, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Xu, Jun]Hunan Univ, Key Lab Damage Diag Engn Struct Hunan Prov, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xu, Jun]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Cent South Univ, Natl Engn Lab High Speed Railway Construct, 22 Shaoshannan Rd, Changsha 410075, Peoples R China

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Source :

MECHANICAL SYSTEMS AND SIGNAL PROCESSING

ISSN: 0888-3270

Year: 2022

Volume: 169

8 . 4

JCR@2022

8 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:49

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 8

SCOPUS Cited Count: 9

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

Affiliated Colleges:

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