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In the safety assessment of structures, the simultaneous consideration of aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty (generally represented by random variables and interval variables, respectively) is increasingly recognized. From the angle of the tradeoff of efficiency and accuracy, finding a solution for this problem remains challengeable. Motivated by this, this paper proposes a novel random-interval reliability analysis method, called ALK-TSS-HRA, by combining active learning Kriging (ALK) and two-phase subset simulation (TSS). Based on the idea that small failure probability can be converted into the product of a series of large failure probabilities, the proposed TSS evaluates the upper and lower bounds of failure probability in two phases. The estimation of lower bound in the second phase makes full use of the upper bound and failure samples in the first phase, so as to achieve high efficiency. Furthermore, Kriging metamodel is used to substitute the actual limit state function in TSS to lower the computational overhead. In ALK-TSS-HRA, the training points mostly contributing to the estimations of the upper and lower bounds of failure probability are identified in two phases of TSS, respectively. Then, the Kriging metamodel is sequentially updated in a series of small intermediate sample pools, which greatly shortens the training time. The computational efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method is demonstrated by its comparison with the state-of-the-art methods through four representative examples. © 2024 Institution of Structural Engineers
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Source :
Structures
ISSN: 2352-0124
Year: 2024
Volume: 63
4 . 1 0 0
JCR@2022
Cited Count:
SCOPUS Cited Count: 4
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 4
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