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Author:

Pang, Junbiao (Pang, Junbiao.) (Scholars:庞俊彪) | Huang, Jing (Huang, Jing.) | Du, Yong (Du, Yong.) | Yu, Haitao (Yu, Haitao.) | Huang, Qingming (Huang, Qingming.) (Scholars:黄庆明) | Yin, Baocai (Yin, Baocai.) (Scholars:尹宝才)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Bus arrival time prediction intends to improve the level of the services provided by transportation agencies. Intuitively, many stochastic factors affect the predictability of the arrival time, e.g., weather and local events. Moreover, the arrival time prediction for a current station is closely correlated with that of multiple passed stations. Motivated by the observations above, this paper proposes to exploit the long-range dependencies among the multiple time steps for bus arrival prediction via recurrent neural network (RNN). Concretely, RNN with long short-term memory block is used to "correct" the prediction for a station by the correlated multiple passed stations. During the correlation among multiple stations, one-hot coding is introduced to fuse heterogeneous information into a unified vector space. Therefore, the proposed framework leverages the dynamic measurements (i.e., historical trajectory data) and the static observations (i.e., statistics of the infrastructure) for bus arrival time prediction. In order to fairly compare with the state-of-the-art methods, to the best of our knowledge, we have released the largest data set for this task. The experimental results demonstrate the superior performances of our approach on this data set.

Keyword:

multi-step-ahead prediction long-range dependencies recurrent neural network heterogenous measurement Bus arriving time prediction

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Pang, Junbiao]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Jing]IBM China Investment Co Ltd, Beijing 10085, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Du, Yong]Beijing Transportat Informat Ctr, Beijing 100161, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Yu, Haitao]Beijing Transportat Informat Ctr, Beijing 100161, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, Qingming]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Comp & Control Engn, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Huang, Qingming]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Yin, Baocai]Dalian Univ Technol, Fac Elect Informat & Elect Engn, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Yin, Baocai]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 庞俊彪

    [Pang, Junbiao]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Yu, Haitao]Beijing Transportat Informat Ctr, Beijing 100161, Peoples R China

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Source :

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

ISSN: 1524-9050

Year: 2019

Issue: 9

Volume: 20

Page: 3283-3293

8 . 5 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:136

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 51

SCOPUS Cited Count: 66

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 9

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