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Author:

Xie, Y. L. (Xie, Y. L..) | Xia, D. H. (Xia, D. H..) | Ji, L. (Ji, L..) (Scholars:嵇灵) | Zhou, W. N. (Zhou, W. N..) | Huang, G. H. (Huang, G. H..)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Energy structure adjustment is a significant way to resolve constrained resources and environment, improve the security of energy supply, and achieve sustainable development, which is a complicated itself but further challenged by existence of uncertainties. In this study, an inexact multistage stochastic cost-risk balanced programming model is developed for energy system management under considering the policies of coal-consumption control and pollutants emission reduction. The method is an integration of inexact multistage stochastic programming and a risk management tools from modern financial theory, and could tackle uncertainties described as interval values and probability distributions. The method could reflect energy system dynamic characteristic in a multi-period problem, and provide an effective linkage between conflicting economic cost and the system stability. The proposed method is applied to a real case of planning electric power structure adjustment in Shandong province, China, where the energy system is faced with lots of difficulties complexities in electric power structure adjustment. The impact of coal-consumption control level and pollutants emission reduction scenarios on energy system structure adjustment, and resources and environmental effect were compared and analyzed. The results are valuable for supporting the adjustment or justification of the existing power generation schemes of the complicated regional energy system. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Stochastic optimization Cost-risk balance Pollutants emission reduction Electric power structure adjustment Coal-consumption control

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xie, Y. L.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xia, D. H.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhou, W. N.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Ji, L.]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, G. H.]Univ Regina, Fac Engn, Environm Syst Engn Program, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Xie, Y. L.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENERGY

ISSN: 0360-5442

Year: 2017

Volume: 126

Page: 374-391

9 . 0 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:165

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 10

SCOPUS Cited Count: 14

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 10

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