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Author:

Liu, Xiliang (Liu, Xiliang.) | Zhao, Junjie (Zhao, Junjie.) | Lin, Shaofu (Lin, Shaofu.) | Li, Jianqiang (Li, Jianqiang.) (Scholars:李建强) | Wang, Shaohua (Wang, Shaohua.) | Zhang, Yumin (Zhang, Yumin.) | Gao, Yuyao (Gao, Yuyao.) | Chai, Jinchuan (Chai, Jinchuan.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Accurate and fine-grained individual air quality index (IAQI) prediction is the basis of air quality index (AQI), which is of great significance for air quality control and human health. Traditional approaches, such as time series, recurrent neural network or graph convolutional network, cannot effectively integrate spatial-temporal and meteorological factors and manage the dynamic edge relationship among scattered monitoring stations. In this paper, a ST-CCN-IAQI model is proposed based on spatial-temporal causal convolution networks. Both the spatial effects of multi-source air pollutants and meteorological factors were considered via spatial attention mechanism. Time-dependent features in the causal convolution network were extracted by stacked dilated convolution and time attention. All the hyper-parameters in ST-CCN-IAQI were tuned by Bayesian optimization. Shanghai air monitoring station data were employed with a series of baselines (AR, MA, ARMA, ANN, SVR, GRU, LSTM and ST-GCN). Final results showed that: (1) For a single station, the RMSE and MAE values of ST-CCN-IAQI were 9.873 and 7.469, decreasing by 24.95% and 16.87% on average, respectively. R-2 was 0.917, with an average 5.69% improvement; (2) For all nine stations, the mean RMSE and MAE of ST-CCN-IAQI were 9.849 and 7.527, respectively, and the R-2 value was 0.906. (3) Shapley analysis showed PM10, humidity and NO2 were the most influencing factors in ST-CCN-IAQI. The Friedman test, under different resampling, further confirmed the advantage of ST-CCN-IAQI. The ST-CCN-IAQI provides a promising direction for fine-grained IAQI prediction.

Keyword:

causal convolution network individual air quality index prediction Shapley analysis multi-source factors Bayesian optimization

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Xiliang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhao, Junjie]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Lin, Shaofu]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Jianqiang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Yumin]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Gao, Yuyao]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Wang, Shaohua]Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Chai, Jinchuan]China Acad Railway Sci Corp Ltd CARS, Natl Railway Track Test Ctr, Beijing 100015, Peoples R China

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Source :

ATMOSPHERE

Year: 2022

Issue: 6

Volume: 13

2 . 9

JCR@2022

2 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI HC Threshold:38

JCR Journal Grade:3

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 4

SCOPUS Cited Count: 4

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

Affiliated Colleges:

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