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Abstract:
Accurate and fine-grained individual Air Quality Index (IAQI) prediction is the basis of Air Quality Index (AQI), which is of great significance for air quality control and human health. Traditional approaches such as time series modeling, Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) or Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) cannot effectively integrate spatial-temporal and meteorological factors and manage dynamic edge relationship among scattered monitoring stations. In this paper, a ST-CCN-IAQI model is proposed based on spatial-temporal causal convolution networks. Firstly, both the spatial effects of multi-source air pollutants and meteorological factors are considered via spatial attention mechanism. Secondly, time-dependent features in causal convolution network are extracted by stacked dilated convolution and time attention. Finally, multiple parameters in ST-CCN-IAQI are tuned by Bayesian optimization. In this paper, the Individual Air Quality Index (IAQI- PM2.5) data of Shanghai air monitoring station are used to carry out the experiment, and a series of baseline models (AR, MA, ARMA, ANN, SVR, GRU, LSTM, and ST-GCN) are employed to compare with ST-CCN-IAQI. Our results show that: (1) In the single station test, RMSE and MAE values of ST- CCN- IAQI are 9.873 and 7.469, respectively, which decreases by 24.95% and 16.87% on average, respectively; R2 is 0.917, about 5.69% higher than that of the baselines; (2) The prediction of IAQI-PM2.5, IAQI-PM10, and IAQI-NO2 of all stations proves that ST-CCN-IAQI has strong generalization ability and stability; (3) Shapley analysis shows IAQI-PM10, humidity, and IAQI-NO2 have a great impact on the prediction of IAQI-PM2.5. Friedman test under different data sampling conditions proves that ST-CCN-IAQI has significant performance improvement by comparisons with baselines. The ST-CCN-IAQI method provides a robust and feasible solution for accurate prediction of fine-grained IAQI. © 2023 Journal of Geo-Information Science. All rights reserved.
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Journal of Geo-Information Science
ISSN: 1560-8999
Year: 2023
Issue: 1
Volume: 25
Page: 115-130
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 0
SCOPUS Cited Count:
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 10
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