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Author:

Xue, Huidan (Xue, Huidan.) | Wang, Liming (Wang, Liming.) | Li, Chenguang (Li, Chenguang.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The dairy sector in the European Union (EU) has experienced policy changes and market shocks recently. Using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model, this paper explores regional market integration, the feedback between market shocks and price dynamics, and the link between EU's cheese export markets and energy market. This paper assesses and compares which influencing factors are typically associated with intra-EU and extra-EU cheese export price movement with regards to shocks to crude oil price, farm-gate raw milk price, and consumer price index (CPI) for food and cheese production of six representative EU member states, respectively. Using generalized impulse response functions, this paper finds that EU's internal cheese export market is not well integrated, while EU's external market is well integrated, with France as an exception. It also finds that the external cheese export market is vulnerable to shocks from the energy market compared to the internal market. Raw milk prices from the upstream supply chain have strong spill-over effects on EU's internal cheese export market, yet their impact on extra-EU cheese export prices is relatively less significant. The movement patterns of extra-EU cheese export prices of Ireland and the UK show similar patterns in the long run. It is concluded that the dynamics of cheese export prices in the internal and external markets of the EU are different under market shocks.

Keyword:

market integration GVAR price transmission global vector autoregressive model uncertainties time series

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xue, Huidan]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Liming]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Liming]Univ Coll Dublin, Irish Inst Chinese Studies, Dublin D04 V1W8 4, Ireland
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Chenguang]Univ Coll Dublin, Sch Agr & Food Sci, Dublin 4, Dublin D04 V1W8, Ireland

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Source :

FOODS

Year: 2022

Issue: 5

Volume: 11

5 . 2

JCR@2022

5 . 2 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES;

ESI HC Threshold:34

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 3

SCOPUS Cited Count: 4

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

Affiliated Colleges:

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