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Author:

Li, S. (Li, S..) | Hu, X. (Hu, X..) | Wang, L. (Wang, L..)

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

This paper mainly studies whether and how stock prices fluctuate around their intrinsic values. Based on data from 10 stock markets for the period between 2000 and 2018, we demonstrate that the relative price fluctuates around and approaches the intrinsic value in the long term. For the ten markets, the relative price crosses the intrinsic value on average once in 3∼4 years. Profitability growth is a key factor in rising stock prices, but the level of valuations in the market has a regulatory effect to the growth of price in the future: For every 1 % increase in valuation, the price tends to decline by 0.26% in the next year, 0.74% in the next 3 years. © 2020, Science Press (China). All rights reserved.

Keyword:

mean reversion valuation ratio stock market adjustment mechanism trend forecast

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li S.]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Hu X.]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang L.]UCD Irish Institute for Chinese Studies, University Col lege Dubin, UCD Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland

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Source :

Journal of Systems Science and Information

ISSN: 1478-9906

Year: 2020

Issue: 2

Volume: 8

Page: 97-115

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 2

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 10

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